Mixed message, both from big governments:
1. Loneliness is an epidemic and a known cause of early death.
2. Self Isolate and stay home alone.
You can't fucking win.
On Friday, during and after the failing administration's declaration of a national emergency, there was a run on food, cleaning products and toilet paper at all the local stores. By yesterday morning more rational thought prevailed and people started to unclench and go back to their usual buying habits. The perceived need for each person to have hundreds and hundreds of rolls of toilet paper had passed.
Belinda and I went grocery shopping (not grocery hoarding) this morning at one of Texas's best grocery chains: HEB. The headquarters is in San Antonio and they generally do everything well; especially in times of general crisis such as tornadoes, floods and hurricanes. It is no different so far in this crisis.
The entire store was restocked and ready to provide whatever we needed. Plenty of fresh fruits and vegetables; in fact, a mountain of fresh avocados! I had to go with my second choice of Ezekiel sprouted bread (sesame) but that kind of inventory variation happens all the time.
The store put limits per customer on some essentials. We were looking for brown rice and coming up empty until an employee came over with dozens of packages. They were being returned to the shelves from the check out area where someone had tried to corner the market in brown rice....
There was lots of inventory and the inventory was deep. My favorite preserves were back on the shelf. My preferred brand of cheese. Even my favorite over the counter allergy medicine.
People were shopping nicely. Not with white knuckles clinging desperately to the handles of their shopping carts but with the same casual Austin neighborliness we usually see. People smiled at each other and folks rolled their eyes at each other when the outlier shopper blazed by with mountains of Charmin toilet paper heaped in his cart.
There were antiseptic wipes everywhere. You could wipe down your cart, wipe down you hands, wipe your produce; hell, you could even wipe down the carton of milk you were about to put in your cart. No one coughed, sneezed or wore a face mask. We are all being cautious but I think most of us are also trying to balance a certain quality of life with the imperative for safety.
I will be leaving the house with a camera in a few minutes. This is allowed by our local government. And in no way discouraged. I'll park in a mostly empty parking lot and walk my usual route through downtown Austin with a Sigma fp camera and a 45mm lens. I promise not to get any closer than 6 feet (2 European meters) to any other pedestrian, as per the recommendations from the CDC. If I touch a door handle anywhere on my walk I'll pull out my little, personal bottle of hand sanitizer and use it. When I finish my walk and head back to the car I'll sanitize my hands before using the door handle. No one will be endangered by my walk. Not in the wildest of imaginations.
And that brings up my next thought: Where do we find balance? This will be the first time in modern history that we allow an epidemic or even a pandemic to shut down our entire global economy in an attempt to prevent a large number of deaths. Our health officials have admitted that we can no longer stop the virus from spreading but that they are working to flatten out the infection curve in order to reduce critical time-loaded impacts on health care resources. To repeat, the same number will get the virus but we are attempting to spread the contagion over perhaps a year or two instead of having the disease spread quicker; more immediately. The idea is to smooth out demand for hospital resources. Less peak demand.
But there is a flip side to this and also a "slippery slope" argument to be made. If we shut down the world economy for as short a time as a month what will we have done to damage the global population? Many will be financially ruined. Many will never be able to catch up and be made whole for their lost time and wages. During the 9/11 crisis the incidence of cardiac arrests doubled. During the 2008-2009 crisis suicides skyrocketed and drug addictions that stem from those times have yet to abate. Hunger will rise among those most in need. The focus on caring for virus victims will cause a redistribution of healthcare services again, depriving the most needy in favor of the richest and fittest.
How many lives will be put on hold? How many futures will vanish or become diminished? And, as we try to compensate by pushing down interest rates, granting tax cuts to big businesses while "hoping" for a trickle down effect, will we be robbing future generations to pay for today's potentially useless fixes? How many retirements will dissolve into irreparable despair?
I don't have an answer. But they are questions worth asking.
Public health professionals are focused like a laser on one thing: preventing the current spread of the disease.
But there is more to the picture than this one narrow focus. I'd like to hear more about how we're going to handle all the collateral damage of an event like this and less about how we should all sit at home like zombies in front of our televisions, streaming mostly crap.
Unintended effects are everywhere. See the enormous crowds wait closely packed together at our international airports for hours and hours with strangers from all over the world --- waiting to have their temperatures taken. Could you even invent a better way to spread a virus?
But that's just my point of view and you'd be silly to take world health advice from a photographer.
All this to say --- we seem to have achieved a good balance for now in Austin. Hope everyone else stops panicking. Sure, do what you can do but let's drop the hysteria (written by a 64 year old who is in the target zone).
10 comments:
On of the best side effects of the coronavirus is to bring out the hidden Harry Gruyaert in Kirk. First, the chair, now this. Thanks for sharing those!
I know you normally like to avoid veering into the political arena because that can spiral into its own thing so I'll try to keep it as non political as I can.
There is a candidate that is saying we should give UBI $1K per month to each US adult for the time frame of this pandemic/crisis.
$1.5 trillion was recently inserted into the stock market to "calm" it. For comparison if we did the same thing for people the rough math of $1k a month to each American adult citizen would basically be ~6 months for the same price.
Unfortunately she won't be allowed on the debate stage or town hall tonight to bring that idea up to a wider audience
I live a few miles from the Austin City limits here in ever-growing P'ville. I had not been shopping for a few days so I went to the local HEB today at 8am when they opened. There was a small line at the door and parking was already scarce.
so my observation was..
plenty of produce
a fair amount of meat
bread shelves half full
cheese scarce
dairy limited
pasta gone (as in none)
rice and dry beans gone
frozen foods well stocked and plentiful.
(I did not shop cleaning/t-paper etc. so I do not know what that looked like.
My hats off to HEB my store has 23 checkout lanes and everyone of them was staffed. Let us all hope this passes over and does not reach worst case predictions.
Don't know if you are alluding to it, but Life in the Time of Cholera is a great book, and this would be a good time to read it.
As to your remarks, very much on the same page as you, from a seventy one year old.
I feel it is easy for those of us who are not in a Covid-19 hot zone to feel smug and wonder what all the fuss is about. It speaks to our "me" focus when in these times we need to be thinking very hard about how our actions impact others. I am sure those in the hot zones like Italy, Iran etc, wondered what the heck all this "social distancing" and hand washing was all about. Until it bit them in the ass!
I can understand their amazement and out right hostility to those who just don't "get it" yet. We had a 30% increase in the number of case just over night. Here in Alberta we are taking this virus VERY seriously. All cases have been traced back to people bringing it into Alberta from other countries which include the US. Fortunately we have not had an community transmitted cases yet. Mainly due to the fact that we are following the proper protocols.
It's not silly, it's not over the top and yes it restricts our freedoms somewhat. However it is our responsibility as neighbours to insure our fellow neighbours are not adversely affected by our "me first" attitudes. Sure we want to show a brave face, that's only normal, but the person that we got to close to who had the virus and either knew it and didn't care about infecting others or maybe didn't know yet could still pass it on to you. Before you even know it you are infecting everyone you come into close contact with.
In Calgary we too have cancelled all public events and group gatherings over 250. It might get even stricter depending on what happens.
If you listen to the experts they are ALL (and Fox News talking heads are not considered experts) saying take this seriously! Very seriously! Once the horse is out of the barn there is no getting it back in. Just ask the Italians.
Because of the US's "don't tell me what to do" and "we always have the better solutions to everything" attitude they are setting themselves up for a big rude awakening. While the rest of the world is using the German test kits that work, the US decided they had a better one and it failed. Thus loosing valuable time trying to get on top of the problem. Korea is testing 10,000 people a day. A couple of days ago the US did eight.
I hate to get political but the Trumpian response has been pathetic. Initally tell everyone it was a hoax! If the government would just let the CDC and their experts do their job, maybe, just maybe a whole lot of lives will be saved.
Neopavlk wrote "$1.5 trillion was recently inserted into the stock market to "calm" it."".
This is not correct. $1.5T to pay overnight repo is to keep the banking system liquid. Stock market benefits, yes, but the point it to keep liquidity and that helps the entire economy, you and me, as well.
Mark M.
Interesting points about collateral damage. I suspect that the travel industry in all its forms will take a pounding now that virtually no-one is travelling. As well as hospitality. I'm thinking that this year will be a bust for me work wise. Fortunately I have enough to see us through to next year but I can see a long recession coming on. I suspect all countries will look back in six months and say "Hmm, if only we'd done that earlier ..."
If it's any consolation Kirk, I suspect that your fitness will hold you in good stead. Keep safe.
Eric Rose we here in the US are getting closer and closer to total shutdown. Ohio just closed all bars and restaurants in regards to eat in dining. This will be come more common in coming days.
I realize President Trump is a trip and all but do you really blame this all on him? I feel he and VP Pence are trying. I mean how would you like to be in that position of making decisions right now? Nothing wrong with positive talk about beating this. Arm chair quarterbacking from Canada is not helping the cause.
Michael I expected some patriotic push back. Just understand that the world is watching the US and how it deals with this crisis. I think Pence is trying to do the best he can. Trump is or should be considered a national disgrace. Standing there in front of the leading US virus experts and telling them he knows more about the virus than they do! REALLY! Who does he think he's fooling, except himself.
My issue is they had 6 weeks to get their ducks in a row and all they did was tell everyone it was a hoax and send out faulty test kits. Now things are getting serious and they have to act. I'm just praying Trump gets out of everyone's way and lets them do their job.
The experts are afraid to say or do anything that goes against what Trump has said. They worry about getting fired. What's Trump going to do once he fires all the experts? Bring in Donald Jr.??
Realistically I think Trump has understood he is in way over his head on this one. Catchy slogans and baseball caps aren't going to solve the problem nor fool anyone. Things are slowly getting sorted out. It's just too bad it took so long to get going.
Canada is your neighbour, naturally we are concerned what happens in the US. And rightfully so, if the US doesn't get a handle on this it will effect us as well. This virus doesn't recognize borders. So yes we do have a right to armchair quarter back.
Eric
Okay Gentlemen. With that exchange the comments are now locked. No animus, just locked.
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