Springtime in the central Texas area. The wildflowers are blooming.
But this year few people will see them. Doesn't make them less beautiful. Eh?
I woke up this morning with the nagging realization that this "shelter in place" existence may go on for months, not weeks. My first thought was about all the people who will be economically damaged by the shut down of our economies. I remember recessions earlier in my career and just how frightening it was for me as a freelancer and a provider to my family when people started losing their jobs, companies cut back on their expenditures and freelancers really had to scramble to make ends meet. But these times are different and worse for the self-employed. In past recessions you could keep trying to make a sale, to convince a marketing person that they'd be riding the wave of recovery with your brilliant photos leading their advertising charge. Or, you might have, in desperation, done work you would not normally do; a wedding here, a child portrait there, or maybe events or some real estate work. But the difference was that if you could convince someone to pay for it you had the opportunity to do the work.
With the pandemic raging all non-essential commerce is fully closed down. The kinds of face-to-face engagements required for corporate portraits, work with models, events and meetings is just gone. No matter how great your ability to sell you will not be able to will the work into existence. And that's a total game changer.
My old advice would have been to diversify your services; see if there was another type of visual art that would leverage your skills differently so you could make enough $$$ to keep the business going, the family fed, and the mortgage/rent paid. But unless your talents lie in something like web site design and construction (which you can do remotely) a lot of those pathways are equally moribund.
It's too late for hoary, old advice about "being prepared" or "keeping six months of expense money on hand"; now that advice just seems like judgement. And I remember how hard it was in the early years of freelancing to keep the next month's expense money on hand, much less the money for a quarter or a year. No, if I were in the early days of my time in the business and I could transfer what I know now to my younger self about how to deal with this particular catastrophe I would tell myself to immediately put the idea of photography as a business on hold and find a job in an essential industry now. Even if the pay was just enough to cover my expenses and keep me running in place.
I'd look for a job stocking groceries or working construction or doing lawn care. Anything to bring in short term cash and to stop the bleeding engendered by trying to keep a photography business alive (with the burn rate burning) in a time when NO business happens.
This doesn't mean quit. It means find a way to get the cash needed to survive. You can still maintain your brand for the time in the future when we are all able to get back to work. You can continue to update your website, post on your favorite social media, connect on LinkedIn, but you need to stop waiting for the next project to appear and find a stop gap job with which to pay the bills. With luck, a job that will also provide health coverage (advice, sadly, mostly for U.S. citizens). But your priority is to stop the bleeding.
Is this the advice I would give to my own kid? It's exactly the advice I gave him at dinner last week. He started working as a freelance writer before the national emergency was declared and on March 13th everything he was working on or scheduled for came to a hard stop. He's been applying for all sorts of positions and will take nearly anything that provides a decent paycheck. And he's a lucky one with a great work history, who graduated from a prestigious private college, Magna Cum Laude. If he'll embrace the concept of stocking toilet paper at Trader Joe's until this all blows over then it must be a fairly logical and deliberate choice.
To those of us further along in our careers...
I thought I'd hang up the invoice template when I either ran out of energy to work or when I just didn't feel like I was having fun with commercial photography any more. I never thought that the business would just retire out from under me. But it's the same business whether you are on your way into it or on your way out of it and it seems like, for now, we're all on hiatus.
If you've scrimped and saved throughout your career then congratulations, you can consider this a test run of your future retirement. I'm sure the business will come back in some form in a few months, maybe a year... Time to re-design the website, send out assuring messages to your clients who still hold their positions, paint the studio, clear out the organizational paperwork, apply for an SBA loan. But don't presume, unless you do some really amazing niche in photography, that you'll maintain the income and cash flow you historically have. This time is different.
I'm already getting phone calls from peers who are selling off gear to make payments. It's more important to have cash flow right now than that camera we just had to have last year. Or that 600mm f4.0 lens we thought we couldn't live without. Problem is that we're all pretty much in the same boat so there are far fewer buyers out there to take the gear off our hands and replace it with cold, hard cash.
You don't need financial advice from me but my CFO is adamant that we're not touching investments or retirement accounts to get through this. You should never sell at the bottom. Even better to take on a bit of debt than to throw out investing discipline.
Of course, the advice sounds great until the electricity gets turned off and then priorities change.
I'm predicting that when we all get through this there will be a whole mind change in the small business community and more people will eat at home, drive older, cheaper cars, and vacation locally instead of skiing at Gstaad, or snorkeling in Bora Bora. More money will flow into contingency accounts than into funds for the next big luxury item. More people will abandon premium cable and watch more stuff on Netflix. The really frugal will also ditch Netflix and get the "rabbit ears" antennae out to watch "free TV." Or skip TV all together to work harder on getting that "emergency account" filled up.
So, how am I handling all this? Sheer panic one moment and calm blog writing the next. We've yet to get carry out food and we're sharing the shopping and cooking responsibilities. I've sent out all the invoices from last month that I felt too paralyzed in the moment to attend to (very unusual for me to procrastinate on paper work) and I'm trying to walk enough in my neighborhood to replace the benefits from the lost swimming. I ordered one piece of swim training gear. It's a resistance band thing. Pretty simple but you can use it to mimic your swimming stroke with variable resistance. It's one thing to maintain aerobic fitness (walking up hills like your late to an important meeting) but it's just as important to maintain muscle mass and muscle memory! And, yeah, it's good to throw some flexibility exercise in there as well. "Supple trees bend in strong wind. stiff trees get knocked over."
We could exit the field of play altogether but it would feel like surrender. I'm convinced we'll have fun stuff to do by the fourth quarter and it'll be nice to do something I'm actually good at, for a change. In the meantime I am learning the minute ins and outs of making perfect coffee. There is always room for improvement.
On another note, since I can't have portrait subjects in the studio, or even on location, I'm on a self assignment to do self-portraits until such a time that everything relents. I actually like to see myself with a camera in front of my face. It's lessens the shock of seeing how much I've aged. Most people who know me well know that, in my subconscious mind, I still believe I am about 18 years old...
Sorry to be so serious today but as a former college teacher and chapter ASMP president I'm starting to get some panicky phone calls and e-mails from younger people in the business. Better to write down my opinions of the options than to free form it every time the iPhone summons me.
If you are not in the business then ignore what I've written here and continue having as much fun with photography as you can. It's a wonderful way to spend time. And now that I have no $$$ projects to work on I'm certainly enjoying being an ardent amateur!!! Kirk Tuck, Photo hobbyist.
I'm a bit sad about letting go of the Pentax stuff last year. It wasn't perfect but the camera bodies matched what I think a "real" camera should feel like. It was fun to use. Really fun to use.
I am at the point now where the Lumix S cameras are comfortable and familiar.
I use them frequently for my current hobby work just to keep the muscle memory intact
for the day when we return to service as working photographers.
I loved the way the Fuji X-Pro2 looked. It reminded me so much of the many Leica M
series rangefinders that eventually slipped through my fickle fingers. But from an
imaging POV I'm not sad to move on. It was good stuff but nothing exemplary.
Ben's generation is really taking it on the chin.
But he's young, smart, has indulgent parents and no debt.
I think he'll come out of this okay.
I'm happy to see that he and his (science major) housemates are taking
the pandemic seriously. They have social distancing down to a science
and they are relentless about it. Makes a parent happy.
That's all for this morning. Off to clean my air conditioner and cut my own hair......
One last thing: If you are a working pro and feeling awful about
work life right now just remember than none of this is your fault and
that all over the world all of us are in the same boat.
No one is judging you.
20 comments:
A few random comments if you don't mind. I've lived a similar existence as a independent engineering contractor for over 3 decades so I'll write this for whatever it is worth (not much probably).
"But your priority is to stop the bleeding." - If you're not set for retirement already, take ANY job you can get now and hold onto it tight. Stocking toilet paper is probably the most secure job in existence right now.
"This time is different." - Yes. Most have not come to that realization yet unfortunately.
"You should never sell at the bottom." - I'd say 'never sell it ALL at the bottom'. Nobody ever knows where the bottom or top is. Don't make harsh reactionary investments right now. Go slow. If you have money in the market and need that money for the rent or electricity etc., sell just enough to cover that if you need to. The market is experiencing a rebound last week or so. Trimming a few $ just in case it's needed isn't a bad idea. Again, just go slow and in small chunks. That way you can only be so wrong as opposed to possibly being completely wrong.
"I never thought that the business would just retire out from under me." - I personally experienced that a few years ago. At one time it was unimaginable. I didn't even need a pandemic for it to happen. Manufacturing slowly moving offshore over several decades and then realizing the inept government/defense industry was the only customer left caught me off guard. We never see the bullet that gets us. I spent 3 decades preparing so I'm OK luckily. I've assumed every day during that time that all my work may be gone the following day.
Not to sound too apocalyptic, but I do think this is a redefining moment in human existence. We thought we had everything beaten with all todays technology. Certainly technology will help bring us out of this, but common sense will be just as important. Nature is more complex than most imagine and can adapt and change in ways even our new high tech world cannot keep up with, especially if we disregard our common sense.
J. Williams, Thanks so much for sharing your perspective! Appreciated. Let's me know I'm not alone.
Kirk. Misery loves company as they say. Lets hope we don't have too much company! Best of luck to Ben. Tell him his skills are still needed. The path back may just be a bit longer than some expect so do what is needed for now and keep his dreams in sight.
Both of our boys have been laid off from their jobs, temporarily, but it looks like it will be a prolonged one, possibly permanent for our youngest. He will probably end up moving back home with us to get himself back on his feet. I think this is a definite turning point in human history. The long-term effects of the pandemic will be extreme all over the globe. There is the tragic loss of life and then the economic devastation that all of us will feel to varying degrees. I know my life will be different when this is over but I'm not sure how just yet.
My wife and I are extremely fortunate. I'm still working and getting paid. I'm a high school teacher and we've switched to online education. Luckily I was already doing a lot of that with my students so the switch has been a painless one for us. Others are struggling mightily with the change. My wife owns her own business and hers is deemed an essential one so they remain open. Her facility makes hand soap, sanitizer, body care lotions and creams, and even ultrasound gel for hospitals. In fact, she's busier than ever and trying to keep everyone safe and healthy is quite a task. Physical distancing in a factory is a challenge. They've split shifts to have fewer people in the building at once, arranged for ride-sharing or pickups for all employees so they don't need to get on public transit, staggered breaks, masks and gloves everywhere. We are very fortunate though and we've been pretty good with our money over the years so we are not in dire straits even if my mutual funds took a 35% nosedive last month. We discuss our good fortune every night as a reminder. I would recommend reading up on what is happening in Ecuador if you are feeling down. It's grim and it changes my personal perspective.
crsantin,
Thanks for sharing. It's good to hear things are still working for you and your wife. We're fine here at our place. We've scrimped and saved for decades. We're the family that never had cable, or a boat, or a lake house, or a ...... (you get it). We've got the financial part covered pretty well but it's still scary everywhere.
I'm not feeling down or depressed, just trying to be realistic.
I hope far fewer people succumb than we thought at first. And I still hold out hope that the world will recover long before I drop over dead.
Spot on.
Heck, clients suddenly deciding somebody else uses blue far better than you could mean a downturn in business. Or coming off a really great project that took so much time (and resulted in so much cash flow) could have knocked you off marketing for too long that you end up with no work for awhile. So if you're going to do this photography-for-money thing, you always have to be prepared for a downturn. Regardless of whether that downturn is focused or widespread... capricious or self inflicted. And if your business is doing well, time to fill up the bank accounts.
And yes, finding any employment to keep the bills paid is truly one of the unsung secrets of 'being' a full time photographer. So many have turned up their purist noses at the idea. So many of them I knew are no longer photographers, washed out around '08 as the news business and general economy collapsed, because they wouldn't shoot a wedding nor stock a shelf. Some of us found ways to make that sort of stuff work.
What is weird this time around is that I'm not suddenly dead in the water, such as past recessions have caused. Instead, I've been rapidly hauled to and placed in drydock. Which has led to a sense of unbalance and paralysis, really. And I can't ride my bike because it's too cold and the remaining winter sand makes me fear for being brought into an already stressed ER.
Time for a walk. Pacing myself by picturing Mr Drysdale from The Beverly Hillbillies waiting for me for a meeting and I'm late. Hopefully my wife has the same pace-motivation to avoid 1960's social reproach.
This situation is serious and I think it is better to over react (as a society) than under react, but there is a sliver of a silver lining here and there. Nobody has called me in the last week to tell me that the IRS was going to put me in jail if I didn't send a money order or that they had to have my social security number to straighten out a problem. It must be that those are not essential businesses :-).
Hey Mitch, I'm right there with you. I was a short order cook on the "bar shift" when I first tried getting my photo business off the ground. Seven years of college to end up flipping eggs? You bet, if it left the days open to go out and show a portfolio.
Walking is becoming more fun since I mapped out all the big hills in the neighborhood. Using a lot of different muscles but still getting a good hour or hour and a half workout. I wanna be in absolutely great shape just in case I catch something.....
No sense going into a crisis low already half way weak.
I am going to be the optimist here, and this is not from a position of ignorance. There are 5 days before my bet runs out that we would turn a corner here and there are signs this was a global over reaction.
Just hear me out, I am not saying there isn't paying and suffering, and I am not claiming no one is dying. I simply mean what I say.
Since the first models of this began it has been a steady revision to lower and lower expected death counts. While the model makers are claiming this is thanks to social distancing, they had already allowed for that in many of their projections. What is happening is we are getting more data and better data, and this is causing a clearer picture to emerge.
Our problem now will be political, but with counties like Denmark choosing to begin to return things to normal we will see what will happen. Politicians will prepare their "we did it" speeches and we will start opening up sooner rather than later.
It was suggested by an Oxford week study a week or two ago that as many as 50% of England could already have been infected... And recently in a blood drive as many as 40% of the donors had the infection without symptoms.
What we need is a better idea of the true infection rate, and less focus on the cases, simply because the harder you look the faster you find.
Bringing it back to business, I am taking a different approach, I still employ all my staff, albeit some are on part time for now, and I am working closely with a lot of clients helping them improve their online efforts. This includes pictures and video. As for many this was an afterthought, it is now become their primary battleground for consumers.
While I might owe some friends pizza and be wrong by a week or two, i all you to look at the trend vs the prediction. We are winning this fight, and not by a little bit.
Remember, keep calm and carry on.
Thanks ODL, While I wrote about what one should do when everyone goes into lock-down I think you bring some balance to what we're actually going through. We are a metro area of about two million people. We have XXX # of confirmed cases but no real idea of how many people have been infected and are asymptomatic. Until we start testing the general population we'll never know. But so far, in Austin, 3 people have died...
I'm not a statistician and I find it hard to predict what I might be doing tomorrow but if the numbers you presented are accurate I wonder if we might all (or most of us) be back at work much sooner than we expect.
Appreciate your POV. Kirk
I wish I had something intelligent to add, but I regret I do not. However, I do want to say to you, Kirk, that your blog is a public service, even if your "public" comprises solely VSL readers. Thank you.
The governor of New Jersey has issued a plea for "volunteer" COBOL programmers, because of a need to update the state's unemployment system to handle the infusion of stimulus funds. Connecticut also. For old coders like me, it may be an opportunity to be useful, provided that working at it remotely is an option. I intend to look into it.
Thanks Kirk, my apologies for my typos. I should read before I post when I type on my phone.
Keep well, if you want to read into that blood drive results here is a link https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/04/01/europe/iceland-testing-coronavirus-intl/index.html
At age 65 I have survived several recessions. The thing about those is that they happened slowly in comparison. This one hit like coming home to find your car towed away and your house repossessed without a clue it was going to happen. Way too fast. I am tenured in a company that will not be going out of business anytime soon. They have been generous enough to give me a crazy amount of emergency sick time and pay extra $$ for anyone who works close to a full week. I seldom say this but I feel blessed and grateful.
Oh update. I found a good statistics page that gives daily updates on Covid 19 for the Austin area. The latest update reports near 600 cases in Travis County with 7 reported deaths and 106 recoveries. 81 cases in Williamson county just a stones throw away from me. Scary is the small city of Pflugerville I live in now has 31 cases. Up from 22 yesterday.
Working in healthcare and involved in academia, etc., so I am not giving any predictions.
We are lucky to live in a 'Domesday Village', that is recorded in the Domesday Book of 1086, so this settlement has been through all of modern history, including the Great Plague of 1665/6. About a mile to the east, at a crossroads is a stone plaque: “Here the country people brought their market produce to avoid taking it into the plague infected village. Money was left in the trough of disinfected water.”
So we will carry on and things will return to normal, although it will be a different normal, for us as it was for them in 1666.
Why not…
… redirect your skille to “remote work”?
The camera industry has sold oceans of “good enough” cameras for years, before the industry belatedly woke up to realities of the new world. Even if cameras were good, most owners were not the ideal operators - ahem - purely judging from results seen online, i.e. real life ;-)
Most homes also have an assortment of LED lights, many with “modifiable” angles/directions and not too far off from the ideal. Maybe even adjustable for a trained person, with a keen eye for ligting. Whitebalancing - even after the fact - does not seem to be within the purview of most hobbyists using pro class gear ;-)
Now imagine, a camera on a tripod, maybe even one of the Panasonic cameras, you know so well. One or more lenses of “good enough” quality, may even be available. Smartphones are everywhere, and software allowing everything from one to several participants. Or... or... Here's two "out of the box" ideas - for free (maybe they're too far out of the box, but here goes nothing ;-)
If someone really, really, REALLY needs a portrait (of loved ones, or for any other use), you could deliver. Daylight is available in most places too. A simple bedsheet, will probably do as background, if your software is “not optimised” for “outline" masking/tracking). Most have an umbrella, that could be made "multifunctional". Images sent to you after the "session", and you do your damndest - for a fee of course - and return “best possible outcome” (which may even be better, than most local “pro’s” were able to deliver anyway).
Or, why not start teaching the art of lighting? To individuals or small groups, scattered all over the world. Everyone in the target group, has smartphones - you have studio, light gear, experience and may even enjoy teaching. For a fee, of course. You have an iPhone. That includes FaceTime, and limiting your potential audience to around half a billion iPhone and iPad owners with gear three to four years old or there about. Later, you could work on including a billion Android users, with reasonably new gear - if necessary. Eh?
What Corona taketh away, ingenuity and the internet giveth to the enterprising soul (I nearly wrote sole, but these are not overly exersized in a lot of countries, regions, cities and other “manholes” in this world ;-)
You’ll have to be pretty quick about it in some places, if your aim is “remote portraiture”
Where I live, we’ve been in close down for nigh to four weeks, and that includes that visits to hairdressers are prohibited (even to visit dentist, if not an emergency). This has led to a lot of new hair styles, you’d never have dreamt about in your scariest nightmares (the lockdown came abruptly, so you might even have had an appointment at your local hairdresser in order to clean up the “haystack”).
Just saying’…
My fantasy went a bit more out of the box:
The “scary lockdown haircuts” may even become a fad.
Imagine “grandpa” displaying his “scariest lockdown portrait” (made remotely by Kirk Tuck) from “the great lockdown of 2020” from his youth to the new ‘68 generation in 2068. The first question from the incredulous audience would probably be “did you really look like that?”, an’ gran’pa’ with confidence uttering “yup!” Taking it as an opportunity to enter into a looong epic on suffering and hardship and... ending with “you young ones have it licked today! Licked!” ;-)
My “look” in ‘68 could - at best - be described as creative; scary to today’s youngsters.
Rock-solid advice. Since I can’t add anything of value, let me suggest two topics for future posting or videos.
1) How to cut your own hair.
2) How to clean the sensor in a GX8.
The latter is prompted by brief mention in an earlier blog post. I’d assume the approach would apply to any Panasonic / Olympus IBIS sensor.
Anyone with an old FlowBee home hair cutting device (they attached to a vacuum cleaner hose) should be able to score more than a few emergency bucks on Ebay.
Good morning, Kirk
Being an amateur photographer for 50+ years, I've found your blog the one which I read every day. It's given me great info and guidance in my choice of equipment and techniques. It's also entertained me in another way: your writing skill. Love your style...Warren
Regarding your Pentax K-1, as the ads said back in the film days: "Just hold a Pentax." Pentax may no longer be an innovative pack leader, but they excel in two things: (i) ergonomics, and (ii) backwards compatibility of lenses.
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